Recent world events have seen a return to Cold War-era tactics by Russian forces as they invade Ukraine to capture oil-rich deposits and feed off the bread basket of the East. And there is no telling what Russia’s end game is.
One thing is certain, however. Putin’s oligarch friends who
have enjoyed an obscene free for all in the accumulation of their wealth are
feeling the pinch of world pressure as real estate holdings, professional
sports teams such as the famed Chelsea football (soccer) club, luxury retail
brands such as Rolex, and international banks such as Credit Suisse, all of
which have strong ties to Russia’s super rich, come under fire of their own.
Aeroflot, Russia’s national airline, lost its capacity for
accepting reservations, and getting replacement parts for routine maintenance
is now impossible. Cargo ships carrying goods to and from Russia are not being
loaded or unloaded in most places around the globe. Wines and spirits made in
Russia are removed from store shelves in the West. The cumulative effects of
these relatively minor sanctions are causing grave concern for Russia’s elite.
Putin has a cache of weaponry all his own in the form of oil
and the pipelines that carry his Black Gold. His cunning and foresight into
developing key world markets for his oil, particularly that of Europe, during
the kinder, gentler period of his reign is serving him well as he turns off the
taps to his reserves. GazProm, Russia’s national oil and gas company, is
currently squeezing Germany by suspending all agreements for oil to that
country. Perhaps it is an attempt to hedge against the world boycott of Russian
goods and gain a strong and empathetic voice among the European Union.
Nonetheless, Germany finds itself a target of Russia while it scrambles to
replace a supply of fossil fuels, which has the very real potential of developing
strange bedfellows.
Canada is friends to the world, and within its borders
produces enough crude oil to export around the globe while maintaining a
lucrative supply for its own use. What it lacks is sufficient capacity in its
pipelines to bring that crude from Alberta’s oil producing areas to ports that
can then ship to markets, without limit. A groundswell of environmental and Indigenous
groups in practically every direction leading out of Alberta have exterminated
or severely limited new pipeline construction to a dangerously low output.
What does this mean? Immediately, it means our rate of
inflation in Canada will soar, as we remain reliant on imported oil for our
needs. Remember the 70’s when OPEC turned off its taps? That is exactly the
course of events we are likely to see in the foreseeable future. Even if all
the pipeline construction projects were to be approved today, it would be years
before they would be operational. There underlies why now, more than ever, the
world needs Alberta oil.
What it also means is that an oil-rich country like Canada,
with an oil-rich province like Alberta, cannot properly supply itself and its
allies with the fossil fuels on which the world still relies. Imagine how much
smaller the impact on world events would be if there were a safe, steady supply
of crude oil from Alberta to replace that from a dictatorship like Putin, or
anyone else for that matter.
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